James M. Connolly

Big Data: Let's Stay Focused

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dbdebunker
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Re: The complexity incentive
dbdebunker   8/17/2016 11:19:51 AM
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It's actually extremely dangerous.

dbdebunker
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Re: Chicken-egg
dbdebunker   8/17/2016 11:19:03 AM
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Which is routine for terminology in the IT industry, which is driven by buzz-marketing, not sound analysis and science, its pretenses notwithstanding.

kq4ym
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Re: The complexity incentive
kq4ym   8/17/2016 11:12:24 AM
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It does seem that complexity is the trend, it gets people working more, sells more products, and keeps people busy. But, whether it's cost effective and leads to enough future gains is still the real question, and there's the luck or random effects to consider in just how simple or complex we make things in order to make a future better.

impactnow
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Re: Chicken-egg
impactnow   8/16/2016 2:06:50 PM
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Terry LOL, like so many buzzwords Big Data has suffered from overuse and abuse. The word big data can mean so many things on so many levels but often times people use big data to sound current and trendy rather than just describe the business problem and data based solution.

dbdebunker
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Re: Chicken-egg
dbdebunker   8/15/2016 4:19:18 PM
Technology is just a means, but one that is extremely effective in the context of a gap between complexity and human ability to know and understand increasingly reduced by elimination of education and its replacement with vocational training. The temptation is too great because it makes it easy to complexify and the target is disarmed and less able to defend itself.

T Sweeney
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Chicken-egg
T Sweeney   8/15/2016 3:58:40 PM
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It's true of many sectors: People conspire to ensure they don't get cut of the equation.

So which came first? Our dependence on technology, or IT's need, conscious or not, to complicate the equation to make themselves more indispensable?

 

dbdebunker
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Re: The complexity incentive
dbdebunker   8/15/2016 12:50:45 PM
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In fact, the opposite is true: there is intentional complexification in an effort to demonstrate "scientific" quality, in many cases to obfuscate the lack of science, often with an agenda--commercial, political.

With the added benefit of collapsed education, quackery has a field day.

SethBreedlove
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Re: The complexity incentive
SethBreedlove   8/15/2016 12:38:36 PM
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@ dbdebunker - Good point.  If technology really solved the problem there would be no incentive for upgrades and so on.   

dbdebunker
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The complexity incentive
dbdebunker   8/12/2016 1:53:35 PM
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In the preface of one of my books I once wrote that there is an incentive for complexity in the IT industry. Aside from the fact that simplicity does not sell so much training, consulting, books, seminars and software, it is much easier to sell anything complex when people have no hope of understanding it enough to judge whether it makes sense or not.

As I've argued in my writings, including my posts here, this is one explanation for the increasing complexity, of which Big Data, "data science" and machine learning are cases in point.

It used to be the case that models were simplifications of complex reality such that people could understand certain aspects of it. No more.

 

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