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Marriage and Divorce: What Do the Numbers Say?
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Re: Divorce Rate and Divorce Ratio
  • 10/31/2015 6:09:56 PM
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I also appreciate PC's assessment about a cohort (and thanks for sharing that article). One aspect that will get debated is what cohort suits the overall state of marriage - by income, by age range and income, etc. Certainly the most tantalizing idea would be access to technology - how we communicate can strengthen relationships or tear them apart.

Re: ashley madison
  • 10/31/2015 6:02:32 PM
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You have to like lawyers for understanding human nature and how it plays out against the law.  They sometimes say what we may not like but remains true from a point of view.

Re: ashley madison
  • 10/4/2015 10:15:07 PM
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..

Robert writes


I wonder if the number of divorces will go up, after the Ashley Madison member database was hacked & released to the public?!? 


 

I like the headline from the UK's Daily Mail:

Wife starts first Ashley Madison divorce proceedings as lawyers call hack their 'Black Friday' and say it's like 'Christmas in September'

"Christmas in September" for divorce lawyers, indeed!

Naughty, naughty, naughty modern world...

 

Re: Stick it out or bail?
  • 10/1/2015 7:46:31 AM
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Glad to hear that you're not a divorce expert, Pierre! I'm thankful to only know what I have "heard from friends" about divorces! ;)

Re: Stick it out or bail?
  • 10/1/2015 12:00:54 AM
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Good point about financial influence, though I think most people struggle around the decisions into the finances that lead to divorce consideration. But I am make a guess.

Re: ashley madison
  • 9/30/2015 11:59:15 PM
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I think it would be a while before there any significant attribution of divorce to Ashely Madison despite the high profile nature of the leak.  From fake profiles to the secretive nature of the site, few people would want that site mention on divorce papers.

ashley madison
  • 8/26/2015 8:41:41 AM
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I wonder if the number of divorces will go up, after the Ashley Madison member database was hacked & released to the public?!? 

I guess if I update the graph a few years from now, that's another label I might need to add to it! 

Re: Divorce Rate and Divorce Ratio
  • 8/25/2015 11:17:25 AM
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@PC. Thanks for the link to divorce rates by by time of marriage. That's interesting data, particularly where things level off in the 25-30 year range. Maybe that's when people settle into a mode of either "love forever" or, "We're stuck with each other, make the best of it".

Also, I wonder how the numbers track for people who are married more than once. I know plenty of people who have been divorced twice, and, I have one relative who skews the curve a bit, having been divorced three times and is now married to wife number 4.

 

Divorce Rate and Divorce Ratio
  • 8/25/2015 9:58:02 AM
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1 saves

The last chart is well labeled - It's about Divorce Ratios.

Divorce ratios are near 50%. This means that in recent years, the number of divorces is about half of the number of marriages. These divorces are generally not for marriages that were held earlier in the same calendar year. (We know there are some famous Hollywood exceptions, but most marriages last until at least December 31st) So the ratio is from numbers that don't reflect the same populations.

Divorce rates are something else. People often talk about the likelihood that a given marriage will end in divorce. To answer this question, we need data that follows a population of marriages over time. Data that follows a cohort.

With this data, we see that divorce rates have generally been falling since the 80's. (Marriages that were held in the 1990's were more likely to reach a 10th or 15th anniversary than marriages in the 1970's or 1980's.) And, despite the oft-repeated myth, divorce rates have not reached 50% even in the heyday.

 

Re: Stick it out or bail?
  • 8/21/2015 9:39:31 AM
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It would seem the marriage/divorce rates are affected by many factors including the economy, percieved financial stability or a marriage vs. divorce, and social, religious and legal changes. it would be interesting to plot the variables and see which might be most important over a time span of many decades. And with declining marriage rates, will the 50% divorce rate stay steady or increase as those folks perceive their non-married couple peers doing well without the ceremony? 

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